Jump to content

ConorMcGregor

Adventurers
  • Posts

    43
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by ConorMcGregor

  1. It is a small sample size for probability of succeeding with 0.03% chance. If put simply without doing advanced math, 7000 is still small given that on average you would need 3333. The normal distribution for a small chance like 0.03 is going to have incredibly skewed results. For example if you ran your simulation a billion times, you will have cases where you will succeed with ~100 fragments, however there will be other cases where you could have spent over a million fragments and never gotten it. There is no way to obtain a valid sample size inside the game, thus you are just playing roulette
  2. your sample size is incredibly low to come to any conclusion. the sample size required to test your theory is unobtainable
  3. Server time is messed up, you announced the server time being UTC -5, but in reality it's just in UTC... @Hermes
  4. The new server is supposed to be in the eastern timezone and yet the actual server time shown in game is UTC time instead of UTC-5. I am not sure if this was intended or there is an issue, but this hinders the gameplay for me as all the events are kind of late in the evening for me. Could somebody clarify this for me?
×
×
  • Create New...