stalingrado Posted June 22, 2019 Share Posted June 22, 2019 I alaeary opened 10.000 large seeds and no baium or zakem formula to know the probability of drop happen atleast one time is <1-(1-chance of baium+zaken)^n>.100 n=number of trys n=10.000 if chance is 1% so the chance of getting in 10.000 is near 100% if 0,1% the chance near 99,995% of getting atleast one in 10000 large if 0,01 the chance is 63% of getting atleast one so i want to know how many is the chance of getting it cuz i think the drop just dont happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...

Manaros Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 I don't know where have you found this formula and if this formula is accurate. But if it is, does this formula consider the fact that only Emperor Squash can give zaken and bauim as a reward? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...

mixa Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 Math skills level over 9000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...

WilliamWallace Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 qq skills over 10,000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...

Bozolina Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 Dude the chance works like a dice, every time you roll it you have 16.666% hit one number (let's assume 5), but you may hit that number after 2 rolls, 4 rolls, 10 rolls and so on. So, assuming that Baium have 0,01% chance (1/10.000), doesn't mean after 10.000 you will get your ring. You may get nothing, 2, or 3 rings, depends on your luck. I belive chances here are very low, something like 0,0001% (1/1million), we are talking about baium ring after all Also, as Manaros said, only Emperor Squash has a chance to drop it. Take care dude! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...

Aikanaro Posted June 26, 2019 Share Posted June 26, 2019 On 22.06.2019 at 10:43 PM, stalingrado said: I alaeary opened 10.000 large seeds and no baium or zakem formula to know the probability of drop happen atleast one time is <1-(1-chance of baium+zaken)^n>.100 n=number of trys n=10.000 if chance is 1% so the chance of getting in 10.000 is near 100% if 0,1% the chance near 99,995% of getting atleast one in 10000 large if 0,01 the chance is 63% of getting atleast one so i want to know how many is the chance of getting it cuz i think the drop just dont happen You are gravely mistaken for thinking that opening 10000 of squashes accumulates to 100% with every squash you kill. You could open even 1 000 000 of squashes and the chance REMAINS 1%. On the side note it is still possible to get 10000 out of 10000 while having that 1% chance drop but chances on that are quite low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...

mixa Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 19 hours ago, Aikanaro said: You are gravely mistaken for thinking that opening 10000 of squashes accumulates to 100% with every squash you kill. You could open even 1 000 000 of squashes and the chance REMAINS 1%. On the side note it is still possible to get 10000 out of 10000 while having that 1% chance drop but chances on that are quite low. He doesn't make a difference between statistical chance and practical chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...

giakkas Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 (edited) Assuming that the probability of getting a baium ring from each emperor pumpkin is independent, and that probability is x Then to get 0 baium rings at n rolls the probability is: (1-x)^n i.e. if the probability of getting a baium is 0.01% (0.0001) then for 10,000 emperors the chance of NOT getting a baium is 0.9999^10000, which comes to around 36.79% Edited June 27, 2019 by giakkas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...

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