Yuuuull Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 how is it possible not to have generated any book the last if the odds are 10%? Below is the evidence!!! if i have 10% of the chance to won 1 book the last in 320 forgotten, why i don t won ??? We need knows!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PimpMyBow Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Every time you try to craft it, it has 10% chance to succeed. It doesn't mean that you will craft one in 10 tries, it could take you 20 or 100 tries, maybe even 1000 if you are unlucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yuuuull Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 IT's crazy!!! If really... game over!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
socketka Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 for ando, for you, for everyone https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability if i calculate it correctly, at 10 clicks you have around 65% chance for success. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gofur Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Why you dont sell at Village 320 forg? Maybe in Naia after event u can have something like 280b? 300b? And try to buy The Last from another player and save adena? Im not "trashtalk" to you. Back to Topic, this is why I stop try to enchant/drop event things in this server, because is 99% loss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yuuuull Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 Inadimissive to believe that everyone accepts this type of situation. I know the game and pay to win, but this titpo of situation and a declared blow. Sorry to see that developers accept this very naturally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siri Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 @Yuuuull calm down, lol. Are you new to the game? Chance is chance. Sometimes you are lucky, sometimes not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SafeStash Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 @socketka, I couldn't agree more. But have you ever thought the chances paradox? Sometimes, doesn't it feel that a 45% success rate in game is "designed" to fail? Also, as attempt reach infinity, the % chance should be almost close to the actual percentage, meaning that out of the infinite attempts on a 45% chance you should see results of close to 45%. I tried it with combining blood red soul beads. 45% chance to get to lv.1 and my results after 200 attempts were no were near that 45% couldn't care less for that, but it feel "rigged" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iAndouille Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 11:38 PM, socketka said: for ando, for you, for everyone https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability if i calculate it correctly, at 10 clicks you have around 65% chance for success. no you suck at math. 10% chance of success is Equal to saying 1 success out of 10 attempt. SO STATISTICALLY if u try 1000 time u will be close to 100 (10%) could be more or LESS , its called gambling and random. You could get 2/10 success or 0/10 like he did it now. SO NO U DONT HAVE 65% to success sometthing that is 1/10. 1/10 is 1/10 i means its simple to understand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iAndouille Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 10:56 PM, PimpMyBow said: Every time you try to craft it, it has 10% chance to succeed. It doesn't mean that you will craft one in 10 tries, it could take you 20 or 100 tries, maybe even 1000 if you are unlucky. or 1 try. ppl always see the worst scenario and not the good one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
socketka Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 28 minutes ago, iAndouille said: no you suck at math. 10% chance of success is Equal to saying 1 success out of 10 attempt. SO STATISTICALLY if u try 1000 time u will be close to 100 (10%) could be more or LESS , its called gambling and random. You could get 2/10 success or 0/10 like he did it now. SO NO U DONT HAVE 65% to success sometthing that is 1/10. 1/10 is 1/10 i means its simple to understand. statistically, give me number. i'm lazy to calculate what chance you got getting 100 books with 1000 clicks. if you give me 1 trilion adena on naia I may calculate it for you. chance for 1 success at 10 clicks of 10% chance is around 65% you dont have to be Einstein to know that. you can maybe calculate your 10 success in row with 10% chance, or any other combination around. its basics of risk management. maybe you can tell us what university taught you this so I make linkedin drama too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mixa Posted November 25, 2022 Share Posted November 25, 2022 Chance in l2 is always expressed as 1 over 1000, instead of 1 over 100.So 10% chance is actually 100 over 1000 and not 10 over 100, which if you're even a bit smart will tell you that there is way more headroom for failure.That's been since l2 exist though, which leads me to say - Welcome to Lineage II Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ballkain Posted November 25, 2022 Share Posted November 25, 2022 no, their stats are a lie, plain and simple. 50% should come up almost half the time, it doesn't, no where near. I'd love for their database to be audited 1 of these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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