Devoid Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 (edited) Hi all, in light of the current situation, where drop rates are unknown and we must rely on anecdotal evidence to determine anything, including if relations between rates match (namely, if I get 100 "Recipe: Something" drops, then I am bound to get 14 "Something Else" drops… or am I?), I have decided to gather some data on de-facto monster drops. After all, empirical data cannot lie - if someone tells you the theoretical chance is 1 out of 10, but a long term investigation shows an event happens at a rate of roughly 1 out of 43, there is no reason to believe the person who claims he knows/he designed the system/etc. For this starting experiment, I have selected the Spider's Nest area, as it is infamous for having 24/7 bots (which is excellent for data gathering). The test was conducted in Giran server. Enough introductions, time to look at the data. Prowler (Observed kills: 6250) Comparison: https://l2wiki.com/classic/Prowler Leather Glove Lining (1): 228 drops = 3.648% Healing Potion (1): 224 drops = 3.584% Thread (1): 219 drops = 3.504% Stem (1): 192 drops = 3.072% Animal Skin (1): 119 drops = 1.904% Charcoal (1): 105 drops = 1.680% Iron Ore (1): 104 drops = 1.664% Suede (1): 67 drops = 1.072% Leather Gloves: 11 drops = 0.176% Low Boots: 9 drops = 0.144% Giant Venomous Spider (Observed kills: 6410) Comparison: https://l2wiki.com/classic/Giant_Venomous_Spider Stem (1): 301 drops = 4.696% Thread (1): 253 drops = 3.947% Recipe: Boots (1): 110 drops = 1.716% Suede (1): 88 drops = 1.373% Sword of Reflection Blade (1): 4 drops = 0.062% Sword of Reflection: 2 drops = 0.031% Unfortunately, no conclusions can be drawn from the gathered data, potentially due to low sample size. Some items are between 4 and 7 times rarer (e.g. Leather Gloves & Lining/Low Boots), some mats seem with halved rates, while others are mostly in line. In other words, there is no obvious multiplier, neither in general, nor category based (as much as I would like to say fulldrop and key mat drop is divided by 5). I will keep adding updates to this thread as the sample size increases. On the other hand, these are low level monsters. Perhaps the community would like me to investigate drop rates of specific monsters? Edited November 4, 2018 by Devoid Some wording changes 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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