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ConorMcGregor

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Posts posted by ConorMcGregor

  1. It is a small sample size for probability of succeeding with 0.03% chance.

    If put simply without doing advanced math, 7000 is still small given that on average you would need 3333. The normal distribution for a small chance like 0.03 is going to have incredibly skewed results. For example if you ran your simulation a billion times, you will have cases where you will succeed with ~100 fragments, however there will be other cases where you could have spent over a million fragments and never gotten it. There is no way to obtain a valid sample size inside the game, thus you are just playing roulette :)

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